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MANTA, Ecuador
— The scene at the Manta Ray Cafe, a mess hall here at the most prominent American military outpost in South America, suggests all is normal.
...
But by next year, if President Rafael Correa gets his way, this base will be gone, and, with it, one of the most festering sources of controversy in Washington’s long war on drugs.
Declassified documents and interviews on the ground in Bolivia prove that the Bush Administration is using U.S. taxpayers’ money to undermine the Morales government and coopt the country’s dynamic social movements—just as it has tried to do recently in Venezuela and traditionally throughout Latin America.Much of that money is going through the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID).
...
... “USAID is in Santa Cruz and other departments to help fund and strengthen the infrastructure of the rightwing governors.”
Fri May 9, 2008 12:53am
By Carlos Alberto Quiroga
LA PAZ, May 8 (Reuters) - Bolivian President
Evo Morales called on Thursday for urgent talks with regional leaders to ease divisions over mounting demands for autonomy, but some said they were not yet ready for negotiations.
Bolivia's richest region of Santa Cruz voted heavily in favor of autonomy from central government in a referendum on Sunday and the leaders of at least three other regions said they will not meet with Morales until holding similar votes over the next two months.
The eastern lowland regions of Tarija, Beni and Pando plan referendums before the end of June.
The votes could strengthen the autonomy movement and increase conflict with the western highlands where Morales, a leftist and Bolivia's first indigenous president, has his support base ...
...
Military colonialism has given way to political colonialism and the latter has passed the baton to cultural colonialism. This is why a government composed of ethnic groups historically repudiated at home and abroad not only must contend with the practical difficulties of a world dominated by and made to order for the capitalist system, whose only flag is the interest and benefit of financial classes ...
LA PAZ, May 1.—In the context of events celebrating May Day, President Evo Morales of Bolivia announced that, as of this Thursday, the state is to recover by decree the majority shares of three oil companies de-nationalized 10 years ago, AFP reports.The companies are Chaco (British Petroleum), Transredes (Ashmore) and the Bolivian Hydrocarbons Logistic (CLHD), with Peruvian and German capital.
The selfish interests of a small group of upper class Bolivian families could determine the future of their country’s geopolitical position in South America.
These families stand at the center of Bolivia’s secessionist movement in the state of Santa Cruz, where a referendum for the state’s autonomy was held on 4 May. Voters favored autonomy at 84%. It was a political gut shot for President Evo Morales’ administration. But the outcome reaches beyond Morales and could have prolonged consequences for both Brazil and Argentina.
Bolivia supplies Brazil and Argentina with the natural gas that moves industry in Brazil and warms homes in Argentina. Disruption of the flow of gas is not an option for either country. Two years ago, when Morales nationalized his country’s natural resources, he began a long battle to redistribute the wealth of his country from the hands of the few – represented by Santa Cruz – to the hands of the many, mostly his poor constituents. Yet in Santa Cruz stands the most concentrated group of interests that has the most to lose from Morales’ vision ...
...There are several other scenarios possible.
So, what does all this mean?
...
Why is Evo putting his hard-won historic Presidency on the table? Well, there is the 'let's let the people decide," argument echoed by almost all of the threatened politicians. But no one plays this kind of poker without some confidence in his or her hand. My bet is that Evo and his allies see the situation like this. The opposition has battled his government to a near standstill. The autonomy vote in Santa Cruz has galvanized his political base in way it hasn’t been since his election win – witness the massive march in Cochabamba last Sunday. And he has cornered his opponents into playing at a table tipped distinctly to his mathematic advantage.
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Russia is gaining in influence through a series of strategic moves revolving
around its geopolitical assets in energy—most notably its oil and natural gas.
It’s doing so by shrewdly taking advantage of the strategic follies and major
political blunders of Washington. The new Russia also realizes that if it does
not act decisively, it soon will be encircled and trumped by a military rival,
USA, for which it has little defenses left. The battle, largely unspoken, is the
highest stakes battle in world politics today. Iran and Syria are seen by
Washington strategists as mere steps to this great Russian End Game.
. . . the U.S. military of involvement in the heroin trafficking from Afghanistan to Europe. The Vesti channel’s report from Afghanistan said that drugs from Afghanistan were hauled by American transport aircraft to the U.S. airbases Ganci in Kyrgyzstan and Incirlik in Turkey.
. . .
Russia today has about six million drug-users – a 20-fold increase since the collapse of the Soviet Union and a huge figure for a country of 142 million people.
As any European Union negotiator in Brussels is forced to admit over a few
bottles of Morte Subite beer, the EU is a virtual hostage of Gazprom. Adding to
European angst, both Russia and Iran want the formation of a gas equivalent of
the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) sooner rather than
later - a likely scenario at least from the point of view of Russian-Iranian
coordination in investment policy and pricing.
Teymur Huseynov, head of
the Eurasia department at the Exclusive Analysis risk consultancy, confirms
"Gazprom's vulnerability to US sanctions is minimal". Gazprom supplies over 25%
of Western Europe's gas. Much of Iran's future production will also go to
Western Europe anyway. Russia and Iran are competitors in the world gas market -
but up to a point: Europe needs both.
. . .
Iran is also basking in
good news in the oil front. The first phase of early production from the giant
Azadegan oilfield, west of Ahvaz in Iranian Khuzestan, is already on. According
to Iranian estimates, Azadegan holds no less than 33 billion barrels of crude
oil. For the moment it's pumping only 25,000 barrels a day - but the point is
that the whole technology was Iranian.
According to the deputy manager
of technical affairs at the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC), Hamid Deris,
the Iranians had to take over when experts of Japan's largest oil and gas
explorer, INPEX, under no-holds-barred US pressure, balked at investing in the
enormous project. The Japanese share was initially 90%; in the end it fell to
10%
. . .
. . . Iran - already exchanging energy with Azerbaijan, Armenia and
Turkmenistan - will also connect to Russia's national power grid. Fattah said
Iran and Russia would cooperate in the construction of two power plants in
Tajikistan. The results are obvious: the merging of Russian and Iranian
electricity networks will cover virtually all the demand in Central Asia and the
Caucasus. Most of the new investment will be Russian.
Russia is the world's largest energy exporter, and the only state with enough nuclear weapons and delivery capability to wipe us out. It is also facing endemic corruption, a demographic collapse, and a brewing insurgency in the north Caucasus. The Kremlin's use of "managed democracy" has failed to address these and other major challenges. Whether in the form of loose nukes or environmental catastrophe, Russia's domestic failings have consequences beyond its borders. It is legitimate for the West to be concerned about Russia's internal affairs. We should encourage responsible Russians to move toward a political system that is better equipped to address Russia's many problems.
At the present time, there are no clear outcomes in Turkey's European Union
(EU) accession process. By the end of the two years following the rise of the
pro-Islamist Justice and Development Party (AKP) to the government in 2002,
Turkey's accession process entered into a stalemate. Potent political opposition
to the Turkish candidacy in Europe has escalated, despite a staunch Turkish
political commitment since 1999 to meet the Copenhagen Criteria for admission.
In this article, we argue that Turkey's EU accession process has contributed to
opening political spaces for Islamism and ethno-nationalism in the country,
ironically producing societal and political forces undermining Turkish
membership. We inquire first into the practical reasons obstructing Turkey's
membership to the Union and second into the societal and political implications
of the continuation of the bleak possibility of EU membership for Turkey. As far
as the latter is considered, our focus is limited to an analysis of the
politicization and institutionalization of the ethnic and Islamist conservative
politics in Turkey within the process of "liberal democracy."
The Kosovo Song (To the tune of "Kokomo" by the Beach Boys, parody).
This is not necessarily relevant, mostly just entertainment. I just like parodies. Kosovo will be an ongoing issue for the US and the EU. In light of that the following article may be interesting.
Kosovo: The US and the EU support a Political Process linked to Organized Crime
Kosovo Prime Minister Hashim Thaci is part of a criminal syndicate
by Michel Chossudovsky
Mr. Thaci, nicknamed "the Snake" during his KLA days, is a sharp-suited 32-year-old former rebel commander with poor oratory skills, links to organized crime and a determination to preserve relations between his party and the United States (The Scotsman, 20 October 2000)
I know a terrorist when I see one and these men are terrorists," (US Special Envoy and Ambassador Robert Gelbard)
"The KLA [formerly headed by Hashim Thaci] is tied in with every known Middle and Far Eastern drug cartel. Interpol, Europol, and nearly every European intelligence and counter-narcotics agency has files open on drug syndicates that lead right to the KLA,..." (Michael Levine former official of the US Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA))
Hashim Thaci founded the "Drenica-Group" an underground organization that is estimated to have controlled between 10% and 15% of all criminal activities in Kosovo (smuggling arms, stolen cars, oil, cigarettes and prostitution). Wikipedia The Free Encyclopedia
When the US Fed last week made an announcement that it would expand its Term Auction Facility (TAF), the idea was greeted with sardonic smiles across the boardrooms of European banks. After all, the Fed had only made operational in March what the ECB had been doing since last summer.
How it operates is quite simple. Banks gather all the collateral on their books that cannot be sold into the wider market and provide it to the ECB against which, following some minor valuation adjustments, the central bank provides immediate liquidity. This has proven quite useful in the current climate of poor liquidity in various market instruments.
Thus, we have found out that European banks have continued to issue billions of euros-worth of residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS) that are never sold to any investor. After securing the rating, the securities, which are simply paper representing actual mortgages in the books of various banks, are pledged as collateral to the ECB and liquidity lines are drawn.
In turn, this borrowing from the ECB is used to support the uneconomic overseas operations of European banks, ie their investments in US subprime collateral, poorly constructed collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and the like. By not being forced to sell such assets, European banks continue to pretend that they have taken fewer losses than their US counterparts when the truth is the exact opposite.
March 4 (Bloomberg) -- China is naming a new generation of economic leaders just as its breakneck growth is slowing.
. . .
. . . China's concerns are going to shift from the economy being too hot to potentially becoming too cold
. . .
The failure to tame a surge in food prices since last year has led to stampedes, injuries and deaths at shops selling discounted cooking oil, rice and eggs, illustrating the toll on the 300 million Chinese estimated by the World Bank to be living in poverty.
``Inflation is clearly a big problem, the most destabilizing factor right now,'' said Xie. ``It's going to be a big challenge how to bring down inflation without a hard landing; achieving a soft landing is the most important task.''
The series and dates for spring 2008 are:
All are Tuesday nights at 7:00pm
Feb 26: U.S.-China trade policy - Recent product safety scares have thrown the spotlight on the enormous role China plays in supplying products to the U.S. Could the large and growing trade imbalance with China have an adverse effect on the U.S. economy? What role does the undervalued Chinese currency play?
Mar 18: European Union at 50 - Having reached the 50th anniversary of the great experiment in European integration, it is time to take stock of the united Europe. Has the integration of new members been successful? What does the debate on Turkey's membership say about the future of EU integration and its changing demographics?
Apr 22: Russia - During his two terms as president, Vladimir Putin has attempted to remake Russia into a major, independent world power. Some of his recent policies have provoked concern in the U.S. and Europe. With a 2008 Russian presidential election expected, what course will Russia take?
May 20: Latin America: shift to the left? - What factors have prevented the U.S. and Latin American countries from forging a strong relationship? What challenges confront U.S. policy in Latin America? Can the U.S. offer an alternative to the influence of left-leaning leaders like Venezuela's Hugo Chavez?
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